THE DAILY RECORD · APPEND-ONLY
The world on 2026-07-09
This page is a permanent record: what we published and how the index moved on this day. It does not change.
INDEX MOVEMENT · 10 SITUATIONS MOVED
+5US Dollar Security→ 65-4Gaza War→ 79-3Taiwan Strait Pressure→ 71-2US Midterm Integrity→ 62-2Russia–Ukraine War→ 75+2Orbital Security Contest→ 54-2Global Semiconductor Competition→ 63-2Sahel Security Cascade→ 58+2Fentanyl Precursor Chains→ 61+2New World Screwworm→ 64PUBLISHED CLAIMS · 22
04:13ZSUDAN CIVIL WARVERIFIED · 0.80Multiple disease outbreaks including cholera, dengue, malaria, measles, and hepatitis E continue spreading in Sudan amid displacement.04:13ZSUDAN CIVIL WARVERIFIED · 0.82UNICEF reports 33.7 million people in need, 17.3 million children in need, and 9,139,309 internally displaced in Sudan.04:13ZSUDAN CIVIL WARVERIFIED · 0.82Over 24,400 severely acute malnourished children were admitted for lifesaving treatment in May 2026 in Sudan.04:13ZSUDAN CIVIL WARVERIFIED · 0.82UNICEF screened over one million children under five for acute malnutrition in May, reaching 4.5 million children screened since January 2026.04:13ZSUDAN CIVIL WARVERIFIED · 0.82UNICEF reached over 800,000 children with education in May 2026, while over 8 million children remain out of school, worst in Darfur and Kordofan.00:45ZFERTILIZER SUPPLY SECURITYASSESSED · 0.60Roughly 30 percent of the world's seaborne fertiliser trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz.00:45ZFERTILIZER SUPPLY SECURITYASSESSED · 0.62FAO warned scarcity of urea and other nitrogen products will lower crop yields through the 2026-2027 growing season.00:45ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · 0.60Japan and Morocco reaffirmed commitment to food security cooperation and stable phosphate fertilizer supply during Tokyo talks on July 8, 2026.00:45ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · 0.60Rough rice prices on the CME climbed 20.7% last quarter amid anticipation of a smaller world crop and strong global demand.00:45ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · 0.60USDA estimates U.S. long-grain rice acreage at 1.4 million acres, down 34.1% year-over-year, lowest planted rice acreage in over 50 years.00:45ZSUDAN CIVIL WARASSESSED · 0.72IPC April–July 2026 projection places 7.8 million South Sudanese, or 55% of the population, in Crisis (Phase 3) or worse.00:45ZGLOBAL WATER SECURITYASSESSED · 0.70India placed the Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance following the April 22, 2025 terrorist attack in Pahalgam.00:45ZSUDAN CIVIL WARASSESSED · 0.70Renewed fighting in South Sudan during 2026 displaced more than 280,000 people, per Save the Children.00:45ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · 0.60CoBank reports overall U.S. food prices up 2.7% from May 2025 and roughly 26% higher than five years ago.00:45ZINDIA–PAKISTAN CRISISASSESSED · 0.60A multi-directional attack on a police checkpost guarding Mangi Dam in Ziarat on July 6 killed nine policemen; 15 attackers killed.00:45ZINDIA–PAKISTAN CRISISASSESSED · 0.60DG ISPR said 42 security personnel and civilians were martyred and 54 terrorists killed in Balochistan attacks and operations since July 5.00:45ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · 0.55OCP plans to increase fertilizer output from 12 million to 20 million tonnes by 2027.00:45ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · 0.55OCP Group reported revenues of MAD 114 billion ($11.4 billion) in 2025, driven by demand from India and the United States.00:44ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · 0.60Morocco holds around 70% of the world's phosphate reserves and ranks among top fertilizer exporters supplying multiple continents.00:44ZGLOBAL GRAIN SECURITYASSESSED · CONTESTED · 0.55U.S. winter wheat crop expected to be smallest since 1965, with all-wheat harvested acreage the lowest since 1877.00:44ZFERTILIZER SUPPLY SECURITYASSESSED · 0.65World Bank fertiliser price index rose more than 12 percent in Q1 2026, reaching its highest level since October 2022.00:44ZINDIA–PAKISTAN CRISISASSESSED · 0.60BLA fighters ambushed an army convoy near the N-25 highway in Bela, killing 11 soldiers; 14 attackers were killed.EVERY CLAIM LINKS TO ITS EVIDENCE · THE ROLLING VERSION OF THIS PAGE IS /DIGEST · SCORE HISTORY API: /API/DOCS