77/100
VUCA INDEX
SITUATION · EAST ASIA · MILITARY · TRADE
Taiwan Strait Pressure
VUCA INDEX 77/100RISINGCONFIDENCE 0.73+9 / 14D
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
—Median daily PLA ADIZ sorties more than doubled, 11 to 26.
—Three major insurers repriced strait-transit war-risk premiums upward.
—Two container lines began routing east of Taiwan.
INTENSITY · OBSERVED + FORECAST
BASELINE 64+13 VS BASELINE
90D OBSERVEDBASELINE = TRAILING 90D MEDIANFORECAST · DASHED
VUCA COMPONENTS
Volatility79
Uncertainty63
Complexity70
Ambiguity58
MOMENTUM +9 / 14DHORIZON 90D41 CLAIMS · 87 EVIDENCE ITEMS
RAW SIGNAL · LIVE
INGESTION V0 · UNPROCESSEDUS diplomat wants to turn Taiwan into hornets nest of drones↗batonrougepost.com · JUL 4 · 19:30ZDoctor urges safe sex among young people to stop HPV↗taipeitimes.com · Minerals in Cook Islands a top priority: US envoy↗taipeitimes.com · Army to hold missile firing drills next week: source↗taipeitimes.com · Recalls for Central Union oil reaches 17.422 tonnes↗taipeitimes.com · China calls criticism of ethnic law ‘malicious smear’↗taipeitimes.com · Drone bills move to committee review↗taipeitimes.com · Cities install parasols for shade↗taipeitimes.com ·
RAW FEED — NOT YET EXTRACTED INTO CLAIMS · LINKS LEAVE VUCA NEWS
RELATED DYNAMICS