VUCA
CLAIM · ASSESSED ~ · CONFIDENCE 0.60

Roughly 30 percent of the world's seaborne fertiliser trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz.

WHY THIS MATTERS · This matters because most of the world's fertilizer flows through a handful of choke points — Russian and Belarusian potash, Moroccan phosphate, gas-linked nitrogen — so one export curb or gas spike raises fertilizer costs, cuts crop yields, and pushes food prices up fastest in poor import-dependent countries.

Part of the monitored dynamic Fertilizer Supply Security · VUCA INDEX 61/100

EVIDENCE CHAIN · 1
INGESTED ARTICLETIER 2JUL 8
aljazeera.com — The Strait of Hormuz is now at the centre of Iranian and US calculus

"roughly 30 percent of the world’s seaborne fertiliser trade also passes through Hormuz"

PROVENANCE

Extracted by pipeline v0.5 (claude-opus-4-8) from aljazeera.com · approved by christopher@vucanews.com JUL 9.

Extracted JUL 8; approved JUL 9 at 0.60.

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