ALL SITUATIONS · 27 TRACKED
Everything we track, in one list
Index = 0–100, higher means more unstable (0–30 calm · 60+ high · 80+ critical). Coverage grows weekly — if your topic isn't here yet, that's a gap, not a judgment; tell us what you need tracked.
CONFLICT & FLASHPOINTS
Gaza WarMIDDLE EASTFragile ceasefire holds unevenly as aid access, hostage handovers, and West Bank raids drive daily friction84±0/14DRussia–Ukraine WarEASTERN EUROPEStrikes on grid substations resumed after five weeks; a Russian bridgehead north of Kupiansk was confirmed by geolocation.78+7/14DTaiwan Strait PressureEAST ASIAADIZ incursions doubled over 14 days; two carrier groups now inside the first island chain.75+9/14DIran Nuclear ProgramMIDDLE EASTIAEA reports continued loss of continuity of knowledge at two declared enrichment sites.71+1/14DMexico Cartel ConflictNORTH AMERICASinaloa Cartel civil war and CJNG expansion collide with US FTO designations and strike threats.66±0/14DMyanmar Civil WarSOUTHEAST ASIAJunta loses ground across borderlands as resistance and ethnic armies consolidate, met by escalating airstrikes and forced conscription.66±0/14DSouth China Sea StandoffSOUTHEAST ASIAChina Coast Guard escalates water-cannon and ramming interdictions against Philippine resupply runs to Second Thomas Shoal.66±0/14DSahel Security CascadeWEST AFRICAAlliance of Sahel States announced a joint border force; ECOWAS mediation stalled for a third round.60+4/14DRed Sea Maritime DisruptionMIDDLE EASTFourth consecutive week without a successful strike on commercial shipping in the Bab el-Mandeb corridor.57-5/14DSerbia–Kosovo TensionsWESTERN BALKANSNorth Kosovo remains a recurring flashpoint as normalization dialogue stalls and KFOR holds reinforced posture.52±0/14DKorean Peninsula SignalingEAST ASIAPyongyang's missile-test pause reached a sixth week; the inter-Korean military hotline was reactivated.49-3/14DEssequibo DisputeSOUTH AMERICAVenezuela presses 'Guayana Esequiba' claim as ExxonMobil ramps Stabroek output; ICJ orders Caracas not to alter status quo.48±0/14DArctic Route CompetitionARCTICRecord early opening of the Northern Sea Route; Rosatom published revised icebreaker escort tariffs.46+2/14DRESOURCES
Critical Mineral LeverageGLOBALBeijing tightens export licensing across rare earths and strategic metals as West races to build alternative midstream.63±0/14DFertilizer Supply SecurityGLOBALConcentrated nitrogen, phosphate and potash supply chains face export controls and price volatility feeding food-security risk.58±0/14DGlobal Grain SecurityGLOBALExport bans, war-disrupted corridors and climate shocks keep grain markets and food-crisis caseloads elevated.58±0/14DGlobal Water SecurityGLOBALTransboundary river disputes, aquifer depletion, and day-zero droughts converge as water becomes strategic leverage across contested basins.55±0/14DConstruction Sand ScarcityGLOBALSand — the most-mined solid material after water — is depleting faster than rivers replenish it, feeding illegal extraction and delta collapse.39±0/14DECONOMY & FINANCE
US Dollar SecurityGLOBALDollar still commands reserves and trade settlement, but sanctions overuse and BRICS workarounds erode confidence at the margins.52±0/14DSCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Global Semiconductor CompetitionGLOBALMOFCOM extended export licensing to gallium and germanium processing equipment; new U.S. fab-tool rules entered force.64+6/14DOrbital Security ContestGLOBALCounterspace capabilities and GNSS interference are normalizing as tools of statecraft and war.48±0/14DHEALTH & BIOSECURITY
New World ScrewwormCENTRAL AMERICAScrewworm front pushes north through Mexico; USDA halts cattle imports and scales sterile-fly release.56±0/14DEbola Outbreak TrackingCENTRAL AFRICARecurrent Ebola flare-ups in Central Africa keep surveillance systems on alert.55±0/14DH5N1 Panzootic WatchGLOBALH5N1 sustains global spread in wild birds and poultry, entrenched in US dairy cattle, with sporadic mammal and human spillover keeping pandemic risk elevated.52±0/14DINFORMATION & CYBER
Transnational Scam NetworksGLOBALIndustrial-scale online fraud syndicates now steal tens of billions yearly; enforcement fragments across borders.58±0/14DPRC Infrastructure IntrusionsGLOBALPRC-linked actors sit inside Western telecom and utility networks, pre-positioning for disruption.51±0/14DSOCIETY & ELECTIONS
US Midterm IntegrityUNITED STATESContested administration of the November 2026 US midterms as new state laws, roll purges, and litigation collide with counting and certification.59±0/14DNOT YET TRACKED (KNOWN GAPS, ON THE ROADMAP): SUDAN · DRC/GREAT LAKES · INDIA-PAKISTAN · CENTRAL ASIA · SOUTHERN CONE TRADE — COVERAGE TARGET IS 40 SITUATIONS BY NOVEMBER 2026.