ALL SITUATIONS · 50 TRACKED
Everything we track, in one list
Index = 0–100, higher means more unstable (0–30 calm · 60+ high · 80+ critical). Coverage grows weekly — if your topic isn't here yet, that's a gap, not a judgment; tell us what you need tracked.
CONFLICT & FLASHPOINTS
Ukraine Home FrontEASTERN EUROPEMobilization strains, anti-corruption clashes, and war fatigue test Kyiv's internal cohesion in the war's fourth year.73+15/14DTaiwan Strait PressureEAST ASIAPLA submarine fired unarmed ICBM with dummy warhead into the Pacific.71-6/14DRussia–Ukraine WarEASTERN EUROPETrump pledges US Patriot production license for Ukraine at Ankara NATO summit.69-12/14DVenezuela Regime PressureSOUTH AMERICAUS Caribbean deployment and repeated boat strikes signal readiness for direct action against Maduro69-2/14DTurkey Regional Power ProjectionMIDDLE EAST & EASTERN MEDITERRANEANAnkara converts drone exports, base footprint, and mediation into hard regional leverage across three theaters.69±0/14DDemocratized WarfareGLOBALCheap FPV drones, loitering munitions and battlefield AI are erasing the cost gap between great powers, small states and non-state armed groups.67+5/14DIndia–Pakistan CrisisSOUTH ASIABLA ambush near N-25 in Bela kills 11 soldiers; 14 attackers dead.67-3/14DGlobal AI Governance RaceGLOBALChhabra pegs US frontier lead at six-to-nine months, flags Chinese 'distillation' as adversarial.66+8/14DIran Nuclear ProgramMIDDLE EASTIran suspends June MoU commitments, accusing Washington of violating the agreement.65-8/14DChina Economic SlowdownEAST ASIAProperty deleveraging, deflation, and demographic decline entrench structural slowdown as Beijing leans on exports and stimulus.64+12/14DCentral Asia RealignmentCENTRAL ASIAMirziyoyev signs Uzbekistan-Belarus Strategic Partnership Declaration in Minsk, 8-9 July 2026.63+20/14DAmerican Industrial ReshoringUNITED STATESTariffs, subsidies, and China-decoupling pressure drive a durable push to rebuild US manufacturing capacity.63+15/14DMyanmar Civil WarSOUTHEAST ASIAResistance forces hold large swaths of Shan, Rakhine and Kayah states after post-1027 offensives; junta relies on air power and artillery.62-6/14DSerbia–Kosovo TensionsWESTERN BALKANSKosovo declared Serbian figure Paunović persona non grata.61+8/14DHaiti Gang CollapseCARIBBEANGang coalition controls most of Port-au-Prince as the Kenya-led security mission stalls and the state hollows out.61-7/14DSyria Post-Assad TransitionMIDDLE EASTPeople's Assembly convenes first post-Assad session; al-Awak elected speaker.61-7/14DEuropean Migration PoliticsWESTERN EUROPE & MEDITERRANEANEU Migration Pact implementation and externalization deals (Tunisia, Libya, Egypt) advancing61+5/14DRed Sea Maritime DisruptionMIDDLE EASTHouthis declare naval blockade on Saudi Arabia, targeting oil-linked shipping60+2/14DSudan Civil WarNORTHEAST AFRICAPort Sudan court sentences Hemedti and 15 others to death in absentia for Darfur genocide.59-20/14DSouth China Sea StandoffSOUTHEAST ASIAChina removed one Scarborough platform; seven structures still remain, per PCG.59-9/14DSahel Security CascadeWEST AFRICAJuly 4 coordinated attacks hit five northern Malian positions; army says repelled.59-3/14DDRC Great Lakes ConflictCENTRAL AFRICAADF-linked armed groups reported near Biakato trade center, blocking farmers from fields58-13/14DEssequibo DisputeSOUTH AMERICAVenezuela sustains 'Guayana Esequiba' administrative and electoral moves despite ICJ provisional orders.58+9/14DRussian Mercenary ExpansionSAHEL & AFRICAFLA ambushes Mali–Africa Corps convoy of 200+ Russians near Tabankort.57-1/14DKorean Peninsula SignalingEAST ASIAKim orders Kang Kon destroyer into active duty within two months after July 3 gun trials.56+8/14DMexico Cartel ConflictNORTH AMERICACartel drones bombed Guerrero's Guajes de Ayala at dawn during a vigilante firefight.55-13/14DHorn of Africa InstabilityNORTHEAST AFRICAEthiopia's Amhara insurgency grinds on as Addis Ababa presses sea-access claims and Eritrea tensions spike; Al-Shabaab resurges in Somalia.55±0/14DArctic Route CompetitionARCTICRecord early opening of the Northern Sea Route; Rosatom published revised icebreaker escort tariffs.54+10/14DLebanon Stability CrisisLEVANTLebanon-Israel set August 4 for next US-brokered round in Italy.53-8/14DFentanyl Precursor ChainsNORTH AMERICAColorado Springs seizes ~108,000 fentanyl pills, ties two homes to Mexico-based DTO.53-5/14DGaza WarMIDDLE EASTHamas dissolves its two-decade governing body for a technocratic committee; Israel bars members' entry.52-35/14DIsrael–Iran ConfrontationMIDDLE EASTUS strikes hit Iran for a seventh consecutive night, per CENTCOM.52-22/14DRESOURCES
Critical Mineral LeverageGLOBALBeijing expands licensing controls on rare-earth magnets and processing tech, tightening dual-use scrutiny67+5/14DGlobal Wildfire SeasonGLOBALLonger, hotter fire seasons overlap hemispheres, straining suppression and burning record acreage.64+2/14DConstruction Sand ScarcityGLOBALMekong and Yangtze deltas subsiding as dredging outpaces sediment supply60+19/14DGlobal Oil MarketsGLOBALBrent spiked to $92 by July 22, highest since June 11, on US-Iran escalation.60-2/14DFertilizer Supply SecurityGLOBALWorld Bank fertiliser index up 12%+ in Q1 2026, highest since October 2022.60+1/14DGlobal Water SecurityGLOBALTexas Water Company's March 2026 moratorium still blocks service to nine Comal County developments.59+2/14DGlobal Grain SecurityGLOBALOdesa port and a Marshall Islands-flagged vessel struck July 17-18; one killed, crew injured.58-1/14DChinese Distant-Water FishingGLOBALFleet activity concentrates seasonally off West Africa, Galapagos EEZ edge, and the Patagonian shelf, tracked by dark-vessel signatures.52+9/14DNatural Rubber SecuritySOUTHEAST ASIAAging plantations, leaf disease and EU deforestation rules squeeze a supply base still 90% concentrated in Southeast Asia.51-1/14DECONOMY & FINANCE
US Dollar SecurityGLOBALUS revoked licence permitting Iran's first open dollar-denominated oil sales in years.68+20/14DSCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Orbital Security ContestGLOBALCNSA blueprint (Nov 2025) accelerates China's commercial space push.70+20/14DGlobal Semiconductor CompetitionGLOBALMOFCOM extends export licensing to gallium and germanium processing equipment.62-4/14DHEALTH & BIOSECURITY
Ebola Outbreak TrackingCENTRAL AFRICADRC confirmed cases hit 2,011 with 754 deaths — fastest-growing Ebola outbreak on record.59+7/14DNew World ScrewwormCENTRAL AMERICAUS case tally reaches 32; 30 in Texas, one in New Mexico.51-4/14DH5N1 Panzootic WatchGLOBALOnly published item is a test corroboration-pipeline probe marked for deletion.50-2/14DINFORMATION & CYBER
PRC Infrastructure IntrusionsGLOBALDaxin backdoor resurfaces at Taiwan high-tech manufacturer subsidiary, found May 2026.65+17/14DTransnational Scam NetworksGLOBALThailand cut power, fuel and internet to Myawaddy-area scam compounds after cross-border pressure62+3/14DSOCIETY & ELECTIONS
US Midterm IntegrityUNITED STATESWhite House confirms executive action against EAC members.69+11/14DNOT YET TRACKED (KNOWN GAPS, ON THE ROADMAP): HAITI · OIL & ENERGY MARKETS · SOUTHERN CONE TRADE · EM SOVEREIGN DEBT · INTERNET SHUTDOWNS — COVERAGE TARGET IS 40 SITUATIONS BY NOVEMBER 2026.