The votes that move the world

Upcoming elections with geopolitical weight: when, what's actually at stake, who's contending — and, where the desk has opened a forecast question, the crowd's live predicted outcome. Every “how likely” here is a scored forecast, never our opinion.

The election board is warming up — races appear as the desk verifies and publishes them.

DATES AND FIELDS ARE DESK-VERIFIED BEFORE PUBLISH AND RE-VERIFIED AS RACES FIRM UP · PREDICTIONS ARE SCORED CROWD/AI FORECASTS — SEE /ACCURACY FOR THE TRACK RECORD