73/100
VUCA INDEX
SITUATION · MIDDLE EAST · NUCLEAR · DIPLOMACY
Iran Nuclear Program
VUCA INDEX 73/100STEADYCONFIDENCE 0.53+1 / 14D
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
—US-Iran memorandum of understanding reportedly signed 17 June 2026.
—Memorandum assessed at moderate confidence; terms undisclosed.
—Reported easing of regional tensions attributed to the agreement.
INTENSITY · OBSERVED + FORECAST
BASELINE 72+1 VS BASELINE
90D OBSERVEDBASELINE = TRAILING 90D MEDIANFORECAST · DASHED
VUCA COMPONENTS
Volatility70
Uncertainty78
Complexity64
Ambiguity72
MOMENTUM +1 / 14DHORIZON 90D22 CLAIMS · 39 EVIDENCE ITEMS
RAW SIGNAL · LIVE
INGESTION V0 · UNPROCESSEDIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗krcgtv.com · JUL 4 · 21:15ZIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗wsbt.com · JUL 4 · 21:15ZIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗bakersfieldnow.com · JUL 4 · 21:15ZIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗kval.com · JUL 4 · 19:30ZIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗wlos.com · JUL 4 · 19:30ZIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗cbs12.com · JUL 4 · 18:15ZIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗myfox28columbus.com · JUL 4 · 18:15ZIranian mourners vow revenge on US, Israel during funeral for supreme leader↗kcby.com · JUL 4 · 17:30Z
RAW FEED — NOT YET EXTRACTED INTO CLAIMS · LINKS LEAVE VUCA NEWS
RELATED DYNAMICS