55/100
VUCA INDEX
SITUATION · CENTRAL AMERICA · AGRICULTURE · BIOSECURITY · TRADE · FOOD SECURITY
New World Screwworm
VUCA INDEX 55/100STEADYCONFIDENCE 0.50±0 / 14D
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
—Screwworm detections advancing north through Mexico past the old containment barrier
—USDA import suspension on Mexican livestock in force, disrupting cross-border cattle trade
—Sterile-fly production and dispersal scaling up but capacity lags the spread
INTENSITY · OBSERVED + FORECAST
BASELINE 53+2 VS BASELINE
90D OBSERVEDBASELINE = TRAILING 90D MEDIANFORECAST · DASHED
VUCA COMPONENTS
Volatility55
Uncertainty58
Complexity56
Ambiguity40
MOMENTUM ±0 / 14DHORIZON 90D0 CLAIMS · 0 EVIDENCE ITEMS
THEATER · CENTRAL AMERICA
LOADING MAP…
BLOOM = CURRENT INTENSITY 55THERMAL = NASA FIRMS 24HDRAG TO PAN
DOSSIER DEVELOPING
The narrative for this situation is being assembled from its published claims and will appear here shortly. Verified claims are already listed above.
See a complete dossier: Taiwan Strait Pressure →STRUCTURED DATA · PRIMARY SOURCES
PRIMARY DATASETS · TRACKED REFERENCE · AUTOMATED SIGNAL EXTRACTION IN A LATER PHASE
RAW SIGNAL · LIVE
INGESTION V0 · UNPROCESSEDFlesh-eating screwworm outbreak escalates in West Texas as confirmed cases reach 31↗foxla.com · JUL 5 · 01:15Z Weekly protein report: Heat stress raises concerns for poultry flocks
↗thepoultrysite.com · JUL 4 · 23:15ZThis Week in Agribusiness, July 4, 2026↗beefmagazine.com · JUL 4 · 12:00ZMidyear 2026 cattle auction receipts↗beefmagazine.com · JUL 3 · 13:00ZOpportunity opening for U.S. chilled beef in Korea↗beefmagazine.com · JUL 2 · 20:06ZU of Arizona awarded $3.74M from screwworm challenge↗beefmagazine.com · JUL 2 · 12:46ZK-State graduate student explores cattle grazing as invasive grass management tool↗beefmagazine.com · JUL 2 · 12:09ZCowherd inventory: Maybe this will be the year to turn the corner↗beefmagazine.com · JUL 2 · 11:53Z
RAW FEED — NOT YET EXTRACTED INTO CLAIMS · LINKS LEAVE VUCA NEWS