52/100
VUCA INDEX
SITUATION · CENTRAL AFRICA · PUBLIC HEALTH · BIOSECURITY · HUMANITARIAN
Ebola Outbreak Tracking
VUCA INDEX 52/100STEADYCONFIDENCE 0.52±0 / 14D
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
—DRC death toll reaches at least 452 as of 3 July 2026
—First-ever Ebola case on French soil recovers and is discharged
—Case confirmed in Kisangani, 600 km from the epicentre
INTENSITY · OBSERVED + FORECAST
BASELINE 51+1 VS BASELINE
90D OBSERVEDBASELINE = TRAILING 90D MEDIANFORECAST · DASHED
VUCA COMPONENTS
Volatility55
Uncertainty57
Complexity41
Ambiguity37
MOMENTUM ±0 / 14DHORIZON 90D0 CLAIMS · 0 EVIDENCE ITEMS
STRUCTURED DATA · PRIMARY SOURCES
PRIMARY DATASETS · TRACKED REFERENCE · AUTOMATED SIGNAL EXTRACTION IN A LATER PHASE
RAW SIGNAL · LIVE
INGESTION V0 · UNPROCESSEDUNICEF Uganda Flash Update No.1 (Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak), 29 June 2026↗reliefweb.int · JUL 6 · 02:51ZUganda says Ebola outbreak contained, seeks lifting of travel restrictions↗thepeninsulaqatar.com · JUL 5 · 18:30ZResidents in Congo cling to hope as a new Ebola treatment trial begins↗ksbw.com · JUL 5 · 16:00ZResidents in eastern Congo cling to hope as a new Ebola treatment trial begins↗sun-sentinel.com · JUL 5 · 13:45ZResidents in Congo cling to hope as a new Ebola treatment trial begins↗gulfcoastnewsnow.com · JUL 5 · 13:30ZResidents in eastern Congo cling to hope as a new Ebola treatment trial begins↗dailyexcelsior.com · JUL 5 · 13:00ZIlluminating the Future with Our Founding Mission and Strengthening the China - Guyana Community with a Shared Future through Cooperation↗kaieteurnewsonline.com · JUL 5 · 11:15ZFirst Ebola patient in France recovers↗parisguardian.com · JUL 5 · 09:30Z
RAW FEED — NOT YET EXTRACTED INTO CLAIMS · LINKS LEAVE VUCA NEWS
RELATED DYNAMICS