64/100
VUCA INDEX
SITUATION · GLOBAL · TRADE · DEFENSE-INDUSTRIAL · SUPPLY-CHAIN · TECHNOLOGY
Critical Mineral Leverage
VUCA INDEX 64/100STEADYCONFIDENCE 0.50±0 / 14D
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
—Beijing expands licensing controls on rare-earth magnets and processing tech, tightening dual-use scrutiny
—Western stockpiling, friend-shoring and new refinery/offtake deals accelerate but remain years from scale
—Gallium, germanium, antimony and graphite curbs ripple into defense and chip supply chains
INTENSITY · OBSERVED + FORECAST
BASELINE 61+3 VS BASELINE
90D OBSERVEDBASELINE = TRAILING 90D MEDIANFORECAST · DASHED
VUCA COMPONENTS
Volatility62
Uncertainty58
Complexity70
Ambiguity66
MOMENTUM ±0 / 14DHORIZON 90D0 CLAIMS · 0 EVIDENCE ITEMS
THEATER · GLOBAL
LOADING MAP…
BLOOM = CURRENT INTENSITY 64THERMAL = NASA FIRMS 24HDRAG TO PAN
DOSSIER DEVELOPING
This situation is actively monitored. Its narrative and claims build here as sources are ingested and each claim is verified — evidence first, always.
See a complete dossier: Taiwan Strait Pressure →RAW SIGNAL · LIVE
INGESTION V0 · UNPROCESSEDCanada commits $352M to Red Chris mine expansion in British Columbia↗mining.com · JUL 3 · 15:25ZBoliden in talks to buy Votorantim’s controlling stake in Nexa↗mining.com · JUL 2 · 21:50ZUS uranium revival gains traction as output triples↗mining.com · JUL 2 · 21:20ZBHP seeks to restart Cerro Colorado mine with $1.5B investment↗mining.com · JUL 2 · 17:43ZNewcore Gold hits above-reserve grade at Nyam deposit↗mining.com · JUL 2 · 16:53ZAlmonty kicks off processing at Sangdong tungsten mine↗mining.com · JUL 2 · 15:59ZHudbay gains Peru approval to further increase Constancia mill throughput↗mining.com · JUL 2 · 15:16ZUS Department of Energy awards $75M to recover critical minerals from coal feedstocks↗mining.com · JUL 2 · 14:45Z
RAW FEED — NOT YET EXTRACTED INTO CLAIMS · LINKS LEAVE VUCA NEWS
RELATED DYNAMICS