46/100
VUCA INDEX
SITUATION · CENTRAL AFRICA · PUBLIC HEALTH · BIOSECURITY · HUMANITARIAN
Ebola Outbreak Tracking
VUCA INDEX 46/100STEADYCONFIDENCE 0.50±0 / 14D
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
—Surveillance and rapid-response teams monitoring for new spillover clusters in DRC and East Africa
—Ervebo vaccine stockpiles and ring-vaccination protocols available for Zaire strain
—Case-fatality rates and geographic spread vary sharply between discrete outbreaks
INTENSITY · OBSERVED + FORECAST
BASELINE 45+1 VS BASELINE
90D OBSERVEDBASELINE = TRAILING 90D MEDIANFORECAST · DASHED
VUCA COMPONENTS
Volatility52
Uncertainty58
Complexity40
Ambiguity38
MOMENTUM ±0 / 14DHORIZON 90D0 CLAIMS · 0 EVIDENCE ITEMS
THEATER · CENTRAL AFRICA
LOADING MAP…
BLOOM = CURRENT INTENSITY 46THERMAL = NASA FIRMS 24HDRAG TO PAN
DOSSIER DEVELOPING
The narrative for this situation is being assembled from its published claims and will appear here shortly. Verified claims are already listed above.
See a complete dossier: Taiwan Strait Pressure →STRUCTURED DATA · PRIMARY SOURCES
PRIMARY DATASETS · TRACKED REFERENCE · AUTOMATED SIGNAL EXTRACTION IN A LATER PHASE
RAW SIGNAL · LIVE
INGESTION V0 · UNPROCESSEDA model for healthcare reform from a surprising place↗links.org.au · JUL 5 · 01:30ZNew Diseases Threaten Public Health as Trump’s Cuts Leave US Unprepared↗truthout.org · JUL 4 · 22:15ZFrance: first Ebola case 'recovered' and 'discharged from hospital'↗euronews.com · JUL 4 · 21:15ZCAR: République centrafricaine: Plan préléminaire de préparation à la prévention et à la réponse à l'exploitation et aux abus sexuels dans le cadre de la réponse à la maladie à virus ébola MVE - (juillet 2026)↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 13:40ZDR Congo: Épidémie de maladie à virus Ebola de Bundibugyo | Orientations provisoires sur les restrictions générales de voyage à la suite↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 13:35ZDR Congo: Bundibugyo Ebola Virus Disease (BVD) | Interim Guidance on Blanket Travel Restrictions and Public Gatherings↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 13:25ZDR Congo: In Kinshasa, President Tshisekedi Leads Ebola Response Push as President Ramaphosa Brings African Solidarity↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 12:08ZIn the frontlines of a safe and dignified Ebola outbreak response in Uganda↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 10:10Z
RAW FEED — NOT YET EXTRACTED INTO CLAIMS · LINKS LEAVE VUCA NEWS
RELATED DYNAMICS