46/100
VUCA INDEX
SITUATION · CENTRAL AFRICA · PUBLIC HEALTH · BIOSECURITY · HUMANITARIAN
Ebola Outbreak Tracking
VUCA INDEX 46/100STEADYCONFIDENCE 0.50±0 / 14D
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
—Surveillance and rapid-response teams monitoring for new spillover clusters in DRC and East Africa
—Ervebo vaccine stockpiles and ring-vaccination protocols available for Zaire strain
—Case-fatality rates and geographic spread vary sharply between discrete outbreaks
INTENSITY · OBSERVED + FORECAST
BASELINE 45+1 VS BASELINE
90D OBSERVEDBASELINE = TRAILING 90D MEDIANFORECAST · DASHED
VUCA COMPONENTS
Volatility52
Uncertainty58
Complexity40
Ambiguity38
MOMENTUM ±0 / 14DHORIZON 90D0 CLAIMS · 0 EVIDENCE ITEMS
THEATER · CENTRAL AFRICA
LOADING MAP…
BLOOM = CURRENT INTENSITY 46THERMAL = NASA FIRMS 24HDRAG TO PAN
DOSSIER DEVELOPING
This situation is actively monitored. Its narrative and claims build here as sources are ingested and each claim is verified — evidence first, always.
See a complete dossier: Taiwan Strait Pressure →STRUCTURED DATA · PRIMARY SOURCES
PRIMARY DATASETS · TRACKED REFERENCE · AUTOMATED SIGNAL EXTRACTION IN A LATER PHASE
RAW SIGNAL · LIVE
INGESTION V0 · UNPROCESSEDFrance: first Ebola case 'recovered' and 'discharged from hospital'↗euronews.com · JUL 4 · 21:15ZCAR: République centrafricaine: Plan préléminaire de préparation à la prévention et à la réponse à l'exploitation et aux abus sexuels dans le cadre de la réponse à la maladie à virus ébola MVE - (juillet 2026)↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 13:40ZDR Congo: Épidémie de maladie à virus Ebola de Bundibugyo | Orientations provisoires sur les restrictions générales de voyage à la suite↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 13:35ZDR Congo: Bundibugyo Ebola Virus Disease (BVD) | Interim Guidance on Blanket Travel Restrictions and Public Gatherings↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 13:25ZDR Congo: In Kinshasa, President Tshisekedi Leads Ebola Response Push as President Ramaphosa Brings African Solidarity↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 12:08ZIn the frontlines of a safe and dignified Ebola outbreak response in Uganda↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 10:10ZThe Republic of the Congo strengthens Ebola preparedness at points of entry↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 10:07ZDR Congo: A small clinic becomes the frontline: how Sota is learning to fight Ebola while still treating everyday illness↗reliefweb.int · JUL 3 · 09:52Z
RAW FEED — NOT YET EXTRACTED INTO CLAIMS · LINKS LEAVE VUCA NEWS
RELATED DYNAMICS