◉ VUCA NEWS · SITUATION BRIEFINGAS OF 2026-07-20 23:03 UTC
Haiti Gang Collapse
VUCA INDEX 68/100STEADY / 14DCONFIDENCE 51%CARIBBEAN
Viv Ansanm gangs hold an estimated 85% of the capital, blockading the port, airport corridors, and highways while a transitional council flails without an elected government. The UN-backed, Kenya-led Multinational Security Support mission remains under-manned and under-funded, and Washington is pushing to convert it into a larger 'gang suppression force.' Haiti's status as one of the few remaining diplomatic allies of Taiwan keeps Beijing engaged diplomatically—blocking or shaping UN action and dangling recognition-for-investment leverage.
WHAT CHANGED · LAST 72H
- —Viv Ansanm gang coalition controls the bulk of Port-au-Prince and chokes the main seaport and road access.
- —Kenya-led MSS mission remains far below authorized strength; US presses UN for a robust successor force.
- —Transitional Presidential Council paralyzed; no elections held, over a million internally displaced.